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Draft Faa Guidelines on Probability of Failure Analysis for New Expendable Launch Vehicles

By Federal Aviation Administration

Excerpt
Excerpt: The purpose of these guidelines is to facilitate valid probability of failure analyses for new expendable launch vehicles (ELVs)1. A valid probability of failure analysis is essential to public safety for launches that employ risk management, or a combination of hazard isolation and risk management. Risk is a measure that accounts for both the probability of occurrence (in this case, the occurrence is a failure of a launch vehicle) and the consequence of a hazard to a population or installation. Mathematically, risk is the product of the probability of occurrence and the consequences of a hazard. A probability of failure analysis for an ELV produces an estimate of the probability of occurrence of a hazardous event. Therefore, a probability of failure analysis is an essential element of any launch risk analysis, such as the debris risk analysis required by 415.35(a). In general, a launch risk analysis allocates the probability of occurrence to flight times and failure modes. However, these guidelines do not currently address allocation of the probability of occurrence.

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Book Id: WPLBN0000664794
Format Type: PDF eBook
File Size: 152.13 KB
Reproduction Date: 2005
Full Text


Title: Draft Faa Guidelines on Probability of Failure Analysis for New Expendable Launch Vehicles  
Author: Federal Aviation Administration
Volume:
Language: English
Subject: Aviation, Federal Aviation Administration Command Center (U.S.), Mechanical engineering.
Collection: Space and Aviation eDocuments Collection
Subcollection:
Historic
Publication Date:
Publisher: Federal Aviation Administration (FAA)

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